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Investment Property Guide Article written by Diarmaid Condon in 2008 You could be forgiven for thinking that the Irish overseas property market had suddenly disappeared down a black hole. The good news is that it hasn’t – but those who would have been investing in overseas property have become far more circumspect about their options and are a lot harder to separate from their cash than was previously the case. This in itself probably isn’t any harm, as we are unlikely to see a lot of the poor decisions made during the boom times. It is, however, causing a lot of pain for agents and developers. Those in the true ‘investment’ side of the industry have noticed a significant slowdown, and claim that they have to explain their products in far more detail to prospective clients, but they are still doing business. Those who can’t make an investment case for their products are really struggling. Investment and property - the two words are almost constantly inter-twined, but one would really have to question should they be as synonymous as they are often made out to be? In short – not always. This seems like a strange statement from someone in the industry, but there is a good reason for it. In my experience, there are at least as many people who have made disastrous ‘investments’ in the overseas property arena, as there are those who have successfully invested abroad. It is easy to lay the blame for such investments at the feet of unscrupulous agents, hungry for commission, and pushing product with limited or no investment upside. The truth is, though, that unless there is a very willing and gullible audience that refuses to do in depth research of its own before investing in such products, they can’t be sold. Therefore the culpability cannot always be laid exclusively at the feet of salespeople. There is no doubt that investment potential of resort property has been oversold on the Irish market for years simply because it has been recognised that the vast bulk of the Irish buying public is looking to justify its purchases by finding an ‘investment angle’. In this piece we will seek to differentiate between some of the different types of overseas property, or means of investing in property, presented to the Irish market and seek, to some degree, to investigate their investment potential. Flipping This is the most contentious means of investing in property so we’ll deal with it first. Flipping is, essentially, the process of putting a down-payment on a property off-plan and then selling it before taking ownership. It is often also used to refer to selling a property on shortly after taking possession but, in this case, the investor gets caught for full capital gains tax which a proper ‘property flipper’ would seek to avoid. Avoiding the capital gains tax is, incidentally, illegal in most countries, Ireland included, but it was still a very common form of investment until the beginning of the current economic crisis. Flipping is the single most dangerous means of investing in property. Firstly you are working on the presumption that the value of the property will go up, rather than down, from the time you purchase it until you sell it. As we can see in today’s market, this isn’t a given. Even in a strong market with good capital growth the actual ability to ‘flip’ a property is strongly suspect. How do you make a profit when you are competing against all the new off-plan property currently on the market? In reality, flipping is not property investment, it is gambling. It may well suit those who are into high risk investments, but even at that you’ll often do far better taking your chances at an online casino. Investing for Capital Gain Investing for capital gain has become a popular euphemism in the overseas property industry since property prices started going berserk. It really means ‘property prices are so high you won’t be able to pay your loans with rental so you’ll have to depend on capital growth instead’. Basically, it’s not a very sound investment mantra. If a property investment won’t pay down its loans over a period of time, having allowed for expenses and taxes, then either the property is too expensive or the rent is too low to justify it as an investment prospect. It’s a pretty simple calculation. If you can’t get the property cheaper or there is no scope to raise the rent then it is not a very good investment. We should remember that rental income can be accurately calculated, presuming the property is rentable, and there is demand in the area. It can generally be relied upon within reason, apart from voids. Capital gain, as recent events have underlined, is not a given. It can vary wildly depending on what market conditions are currently in train and is almost impossible to predict. Relying on it is a very dangerous investment principle unless you’re prepared to remain in the investment for a long time.
Investing for Cashflow Essentially this is what the professionals do. You’ll often see this referred to as ‘investing in cashflow positive product’, particularly in the US which has a whole industry devoted to writing complicated books about this relatively simple concept. The idea is to invest in a property or product that will give enough return to pay down associated borrowings, presuming there are some, and there generally are where true investors are concerned. Ideally the property should also throw off some extra income over and above the mortgage repayments to make the investment worthwhile. It is a very simple premise in theory but can be amazingly elusive in reality, particularly if you don’t know an area and its property very well, which is often the case with overseas investors. There can be a vast difference in the returns available from two very similar properties, in relatively close proximity, due to local factors about which you will often know nothing. To get a property or portfolio that will pay its way in terms of cashflow involves an awful lot of work on the ground to ensure that you are getting the property at the right price, in an area that is desirable for rental purposes and within an environment that will allow you to hold on to a sufficient amount of your income to make it worth while. Capital gains in markets worldwide over the last decade have meant that finding good ‘cashflow positive’ property has become more and more difficult. Prices are stabilising but they will have to drop considerably in many countries to make them attractive. Countries currently attracting a lot of attention for this type of product are Germany and Sweden. Guaranteed return products Guaranteed return products have got themselves a very bad name over the years. The premise is that the developer will itself, or in alliance with a management company, offer to pay back a certain percentage of the value of the property, usually from 3 to 5%, each year over a certain period. This gives the investor the knowledge that they will have income to cover expenses and loan repayments. Properly done, guaranteed return property is actually a good idea, even though it will rarely pay down a mortgage unless it is quite a small one, but it has been badly abused over the years. The biggest problem, particularly for product sold with short term guarantees of up to three years, is that the money your receive in your rental guarantee has very often simply been added to the price of the property. It is then given back to you over the period and you pay tax on it. Not the best use of capital you could envisage. To carry out a good guaranteed return transaction involves a property in a desirable area, a well run management company and a constant supply of high quality tenants. For the purchaser, knowledge of the value of property in the area and the actual achievable rent is essential prior to purchase. You will have to let your property in this market once the guaranteed return period has expired. If there is a limited rental pool and you have simply being receiving your own money as rental, you will have a very poor investment. Guaranteed return product is fine if you want your property to provide some income to pay down expenses, it would typically not be considered a true investment product though. Syndicates Investing in the commercial sector is an unrealisable aim for most small scale investors. Commercial property is inherently more stable than residential counterpart, but is generally extremely expensive if it is worth buying. Positive factors include the hands off nature of commercial property, longer term contracts and lack of tenant contact. Of course commercial property isn’t without its downsides. Gearing is normally far lower than for residential, often limited to 60% loan to valuation (LTV), which means having to come up with a lot of money to get off the ground. This very substantial barrier to entry is, understandably enough, what stops most people from entering the commercial arena. Vacancy is also a problem, commercial vacancy is normally far more financially damaging and more difficult to rectify than its residential counterpart. Commercial property is still a very desirable product though. Enter the Syndicate. In a typical syndicate the investor purchases a share of the property investment and holds it for a specific period of time, normally between 5 and 10 years. It is usual for up to 85% of the value of the property to be financed with what is termed non-recourse debt. This allows the bank security over the property and rents emanating from it but contributors cannot be held liable for more than their investment stake. By their very nature each individual investment will be relatively unique so it is difficult to be specific about exact returns, appreciation, debt repayment, mortgage arrangement or length of term as these are all project specific. A professionally organised syndicate will release a substantial information memorandum on a particular investment. Most of these vehicles usually work in a projected range of 5 to 10% yield and 7 to 12% annual appreciation. The biggest problem for syndicates is lack of regulation. Consequently the products on offer can vary greatly in quality and fees and charges vary wildly. There are further limitations inherent in the product which must be considered. Lack of flexibility and the difficulty of extracting oneself from a syndicate ahead of the final property sale is a major deterrent. A syndicate seldom returns any income during its lifetime, although some do offer a small return, but it is not generally a suitable product for investors needing ongoing income. Returns are used to pay down the usually substantial debt within the syndicate. A good quality syndicate would generally be considered a sound investment option. Irish syndicates are active across the world but the most popular areas are the US, UK and Germany. You will find higher risk options investing in Eastern Europe and even South-East Asia. Entry levels vary from around €50k upwards.
Property Funds
____________________________________________________________ Further Information: Further information on Syndicated Property Purchase. For a selection of property from around the world click here. For a listing of agents selling overseas property click here. For independent articles on overseas property click here. For advice on purchasing property overseas click here. For news on the world of overseas property click here. For new releases and product updates from agents around the world click here. For a list of upcoming overseas property exhibitions around the country click here. You may also enjoy a visit to the OverseasCafe.com's topical blog or my own blog.
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